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Aksel Kibar, CMT

Aksel Kibar, CMT

Aksel Kibar, CMT is the Founder of Tech Charts LLC, a research and trading firm that educates traders and investors on classical charting principles and helps them identify investment opportunities via weekly global equity markets reports and interim updates. Aksel is a Chartered Market Technician with more than 15 years of experience as a classical chart trader and global equity market analyst.  He holds a master’s degree in Economics.

Before Tech Charts, Aksel worked as a Senior Technical Analyst and Fund Manager at the largest lending bank, the National Bank of Abu Dhabi in the UAE. He also worked for government-owned Abu Dhabi Investment Company as a portfolio manager focusing on markets in the Middle East and North Africa as well as helping the company devise various hedging strategies. In addition to working at government institutions in the UAE, Aksel worked at a privately owned conglomerate, National Holdings/Emirates International Investment Company and managed proprietary investments focusing on global financial markets.

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            [post_content] => “The trend is your friend.”

As market technicians, we hear this a lot. And then eventually, thankfully, we learn to follow it as well. But what if there is no trend? Then what?

Well, then you make new friends that go by the names Patience and FaithPatience for when the trend resolves, and Faith in your abilities to identify that resolution.

Hello readers! Welcome to the revamped version of Technically Speaking. We’ve made several changes to the existing format based on the feedback we’ve received and we’re excited to share it with you. I am taking over the role of the Editor from Michael Kahn, who has been a fantastic Editor for the past three years! Thank you, Mike, for the content you curated diligently for so long.

As a study, technical analysis is extremely subjective, and once we factor in the emotions of the market participants and the market analysts, we have to ourselves a delightful mix of knowns and unknowns. The known is that human behavior continues to exhibit the same tendencies over time: Greed & Fear. The unknowns comprise the unique combinations that emerge from the coming together of distinct indicators, systems, trading styles, and perceptions. Put together, we have a beautiful place to go to, where every day is a new day and every day brings new opportunities. That is, if you are prepared to seize them.

2020 and 2021 have been quite distinct from one another. If 2020 was like bungee jumping, then 2021 has been more like ziplining. While 2020 rewarded those who had faith in the trend resolution, 2021 has been rewarding those who’ve exhibited patience. Regardless of both market scenarios, there have been plenty of lessons to be learned. Learn, we have, and will!

In the new format of this newsletter, we will present information in various forms that can be broadly categorized but not limited to the following:

Members and non-members are invited to share their unique experiences and learnings so as to grow together as a community.

I’d like to take this moment to thank the CMT Association for giving me this opportunity. I have been a student of Journalism in the past, and to be an Editor of an International Newsletter is truly a dream scenario playing out for me. I started out with the India-specific Newsletter Technical Insights, and have had many learnings which I intend to put to good use now.

My goal is to make market insights more accessible to you from those who have had their fair share of experiences. At a time when the market environment is as vibrant as it is today, it could only help to learn from those who have experienced the cycle of fear & greed several times and more!

If there is anything else you’d like to see featured here, please reach out to me at editor@cmtassociation.org.

Here’s to a new journey. So onwards and upwards we go (into bullish momentum territory).

Until we meet again (in print), think technical!

Rashmi Bhatnagar

Editor
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            [post_content] => Hello Readers!  

Wishing all of you a prosperous and healthy Diwali in advance. May this festival light up your lives, both personally and professionally! 

The recently concluded CMT 2020 India Virtual Summit was a great successWorld class speakers graced us with their virtual presenceand I can confidently say that there are decades of learnings in the recordings of these sessions that any analyst would benefit from immensely! A big thank you to all the Speakers and participants for making this Summit a memorable one. For all those who missed it, we have compiled some session descriptions and have dedicated this edition of the Newsletter to the Summit. There’s GOLD in these sessions, so do make sure that you go through them before the online video recordings expire on November 16, 2020!   

If you had already registered for the Summit, log back in to your digital event guide to access the recordings. If you hadn't registered for the Summit, you can register to view the recordings here https://cmtassociation.org/events/2020-india-regional-summit/

As a market participant, there are certain concepts that you learn through personal, rigorous study and certain concepts that you learn by simply being a part of the system. I recently came across interesting analogies in Sanskrit and found it quite relevant to us. 

Markata Kishor Nyayam: (Baby monkey principle/law) 

You must’ve noticed that the mother monkey moves swiftly from one branch to another while the baby monkey hangs on with a tight grip so as to not fall. Here, the baby focuses on the grip, while the mother focuses on movement alone.  

Marjaala Kishor Nyayam: (Baby cat principle/law) 

A mother cat carries its kitten in its mouth to move them to safety or to a different location. Here, the onus lies on the mother to make sure that she doesn’t drop or hurt the kitten while holding on to it with a delicate balance of grip and care. The kitten surrenders itself to the mother. 

As traders and analysts we spend countless hours understanding various aspects of the market by holding on to it with a tight grip, as it swings from bull cycles to bear cycles, just like a baby monkey holds on to its mother. There are also times when we understand concepts by being part of the market where the market guides us and helps us, just like a mother cat doesOne cannot always be as tenacious as a baby monkey or as laid back as a kitten. It is a combination of these two approaches that leads to a fulfilling understanding of a subject. 

In order to improve our trade, it is imperative to revisit the involuntary errors we make and work towards overcoming them together: 
  1. I will refrain from saying “I told you so” (this one is particularly difficult in our field) 
  2. I will not compare my Chapter 8 to someone else’s Chapter 20  
  3. I will not blame the market for my errors (this is just convenient. Why would the market single you out?)  
  4. will exit the trade once it has triggered my stop loss; not average it (aren’t all of us guilty of this at some point?) 
  5. I will identify patterns on charts without forcing them (if I just tweak the lines a little, I can make it look like a triangle…maybe) 
  6. I will focus on being unbiased (My way or the highway really doesn’t work here) 
These are some of my New Year resolutions. I figured I might as well get an early start. You are free to borrow and build on them!    Until the next time,   Rashmi Shastry, CMT [post_title] => Technical Insights - November 2020 [post_excerpt] => [post_status] => publish [comment_status] => closed [ping_status] => closed [post_password] => [post_name] => technical-insights-november-2020 [to_ping] => [pinged] => [post_modified] => 2020-11-09 15:53:34 [post_modified_gmt] => 2020-11-09 20:53:34 [post_content_filtered] => [post_parent] => 0 [guid] => https://cmtassociation.org/?post_type=technical_insights&p=53436 [menu_order] => 0 [post_type] => technical_insights [post_mime_type] => [comment_count] => 0 [meta_id] => 570945 [post_id] => 53436 [meta_key] => newsletter_content_3_contributor [meta_value] => a:4:{i:0;s:5:"52789";i:1;s:4:"2456";i:2;s:5:"20515";i:3;s:4:"1259";} ) [2] => stdClass Object ( [ID] => 45885 [post_author] => 2 [post_date] => 2013-07-15 12:00:32 [post_date_gmt] => 2013-07-15 16:00:32 [post_content] =>

LETTER FROM THE EDITOR

This month’s issue of Technically Speaking offers some of the theory underlying technical analysis and several examples of how this theory is applied. The applications are specific and although diverse, charts are central to each.  Although many of us have a number of quantitative tools at our disposal, price charts remain an indispensible part of technical analysis. For that reason, a number of charts are shown. Jay Lefkowicz, CFA, CMT, uses long-term charts to make a bullish argument for U.S. stocks. Aksel Kibar, CMT, offers insights into some markets U.S.-based analysts may overlook. Nishant Bali ties together principles of market sentiment and intermarket analysis to build the bearish case for U.S. stocks. Each analysis is unique but well-structured and persuasive. We would like the opportunity to include the work of other MTA members in future issues of Technically Speaking. If you publish research on a regular basis, please consider adding editor@mta.org to your distribution list. Michael Carr [post_title] => Technically Speaking, July 2013 [post_excerpt] => [post_status] => publish [comment_status] => closed [ping_status] => closed [post_password] => [post_name] => technically-speaking-july-2013 [to_ping] => [pinged] => [post_modified] => 2020-08-03 11:34:19 [post_modified_gmt] => 2020-08-03 15:34:19 [post_content_filtered] => [post_parent] => 0 [guid] => https://cmtassociation.org/?post_type=technically_speaking&p=45885 [menu_order] => 0 [post_type] => technically_speaking [post_mime_type] => [comment_count] => 0 [meta_id] => 390138 [post_id] => 45885 [meta_key] => newsletter_content_2_contributor [meta_value] => a:1:{i:0;s:4:"2456";} ) )

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