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Dave Lundgren, CMT, CFA

Dave Lundgren, CMT, CFA

Dave Lundgren, CMT, CFA is a 30-year investment industry veteran, with a focus on technical analysis strategies, particularly momentum and trend following.

He has held both analyst and portfolio manager positions at several major investment firms, including Wellington Management, Fidelity Investments, and Thomson Financial. In addition, David has started several research and investment firms, including Lundgren Financial Services, Breakaway Research, and hedge fund Lyceum Capital.

David also taught a graduate level Technical Analysis course at Brandeis International Business School, in Waltham, Ma., where he was honored to receive the 2015 Excellence in Teaching Award in his first year. David is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), and a member of the CFA Institute. He is also a Chartered Market Technician (CMT), and serves on the CMT Association’s board of directors. He recently launched the “Fill the Gap” podcast for the CMT Association.

David graduated with high honors from Babson College (1988), with a degree in finance and investments.

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            [post_content] => Well gang, we made it. The New Year is here and 2020 is in the rear-view mirror. I hope we all learned something, and that includes something about market behavior.

Although the stock market ended at all-time highs, it was a rather lackluster December with not much in the way of enthusiasm. Of course, we can come up with all sorts of excuses, such as politics, pandemics (not to make light of it) and payments (stimulus, or lack thereof). This did not matter, as Santa came a-calling and stocks came out of the gate at full gallop. Bitcoin at $42,000. Nothing to see here, bubbleheads. Maybe a breakout in bond yields might get you worried? Move along. How about Tesla? Who cares, as long as the Russell is outperforming?

You can take away what you like from all of that. Most of us, of course, will let the charts tell us when something is changing.

The January edition of Technically Speaking is Association-centric, with news of and about our membership and activities. Topping the list is the inaugural edition of our new official podcast, Fill the Gap, featuring first Association president Bob Farrell. We even have an old photo of Bob in the Photo Archive this month.

Also, read about the Academic Partner Program, as we expand the presence and teaching of technical analysis at the university level. And don’t forget, nominations for new Directors of the Association are now open. This is a good time to network and find out who can help steer the Association for the next few years.

This month’s member interview is with Jeff Weiss, CMT, who many members know as an energetic speaker and educator, not to mention a pretty good technician. We’ve got the regular Association news, including some career opportunities, a chapter speaker summary and announcement of the upcoming Weath365 Summit, where several of our members are speaking and all members are welcome at no cost.

Don’t forget, we are always looking for contributed articles and you can repurpose something you’ve already written. Just limit it to education, market environment or the business of being a technician. Market forecasts do not age well. We are always here at editor@cmtassociation.org.

Michael Kahn, CMT

Editor
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            [post_content] => Hello Readers!  

Wishing all of you a prosperous and healthy Diwali in advance. May this festival light up your lives, both personally and professionally! 

The recently concluded CMT 2020 India Virtual Summit was a great successWorld class speakers graced us with their virtual presenceand I can confidently say that there are decades of learnings in the recordings of these sessions that any analyst would benefit from immensely! A big thank you to all the Speakers and participants for making this Summit a memorable one. For all those who missed it, we have compiled some session descriptions and have dedicated this edition of the Newsletter to the Summit. There’s GOLD in these sessions, so do make sure that you go through them before the online video recordings expire on November 16, 2020!   

If you had already registered for the Summit, log back in to your digital event guide to access the recordings. If you hadn't registered for the Summit, you can register to view the recordings here https://cmtassociation.org/events/2020-india-regional-summit/

As a market participant, there are certain concepts that you learn through personal, rigorous study and certain concepts that you learn by simply being a part of the system. I recently came across interesting analogies in Sanskrit and found it quite relevant to us. 

Markata Kishor Nyayam: (Baby monkey principle/law) 

You must’ve noticed that the mother monkey moves swiftly from one branch to another while the baby monkey hangs on with a tight grip so as to not fall. Here, the baby focuses on the grip, while the mother focuses on movement alone.  

Marjaala Kishor Nyayam: (Baby cat principle/law) 

A mother cat carries its kitten in its mouth to move them to safety or to a different location. Here, the onus lies on the mother to make sure that she doesn’t drop or hurt the kitten while holding on to it with a delicate balance of grip and care. The kitten surrenders itself to the mother. 

As traders and analysts we spend countless hours understanding various aspects of the market by holding on to it with a tight grip, as it swings from bull cycles to bear cycles, just like a baby monkey holds on to its mother. There are also times when we understand concepts by being part of the market where the market guides us and helps us, just like a mother cat doesOne cannot always be as tenacious as a baby monkey or as laid back as a kitten. It is a combination of these two approaches that leads to a fulfilling understanding of a subject. 

In order to improve our trade, it is imperative to revisit the involuntary errors we make and work towards overcoming them together: 
  1. I will refrain from saying “I told you so” (this one is particularly difficult in our field) 
  2. I will not compare my Chapter 8 to someone else’s Chapter 20  
  3. I will not blame the market for my errors (this is just convenient. Why would the market single you out?)  
  4. will exit the trade once it has triggered my stop loss; not average it (aren’t all of us guilty of this at some point?) 
  5. I will identify patterns on charts without forcing them (if I just tweak the lines a little, I can make it look like a triangle…maybe) 
  6. I will focus on being unbiased (My way or the highway really doesn’t work here) 
These are some of my New Year resolutions. I figured I might as well get an early start. You are free to borrow and build on them!    Until the next time,   Rashmi Shastry, CMT [post_title] => Technical Insights - November 2020 [post_excerpt] => [post_status] => publish [comment_status] => closed [ping_status] => closed [post_password] => [post_name] => technical-insights-november-2020 [to_ping] => [pinged] => [post_modified] => 2020-11-09 15:53:34 [post_modified_gmt] => 2020-11-09 20:53:34 [post_content_filtered] => [post_parent] => 0 [guid] => https://cmtassociation.org/?post_type=technical_insights&p=53436 [menu_order] => 0 [post_type] => technical_insights [post_mime_type] => [comment_count] => 0 [meta_id] => 571095 [post_id] => 53436 [meta_key] => newsletter_content_10_contributor [meta_value] => a:3:{i:0;s:5:"52671";i:1;s:5:"39654";i:2;s:4:"1035";} ) [2] => stdClass Object ( [ID] => 38442 [post_author] => 2 [post_date] => 2019-05-15 10:48:24 [post_date_gmt] => 2019-05-15 14:48:24 [post_content] => Just when everyone pooh-poohs our beloved “Sell in May” saw, it somehow starts to work. Or maybe it was just that the S&P 500 hit resistance on waning momentum? Hmm. I, for one, do not blame a tweet. And I also don’t expect this series of coincidences to dictate my summer outlook. By the way, as I write this, the Dow is right where it was when it (and the Spoo) scored their golden crosses in late March. The truth is that the markets have changed since some of our indicators were created or discovered, and we have to change with them.  That’s why it is so important to keep learning. And keep respecting your “stops” on indicators that no longer produce results. What better place to learn that at the CMT Association annual symposium? This year’s is in the books, but even if you were unable to attend, you’ll be able to get a few insights from the presenters. We’ve got summaries of several of them in this newsletter edition. If you were there and took notes, we’d love to get a few paragraphs of individual presentations or the seminar as a whole. Send them to me at editor@cmtassociation.org. Also in this issue is our series of member interviews, this month with John Kosar, CMT, of Asbury Research. Joyce and Dr. Daniel Miller are back with part two of their series on copyrights. This is an important topic for any of us that publish any works, from books to reports to blogs. We also pay tribute to long-time member Stephen Cox, CMT, who passed away this month. He was instrumental in establishing the Dow Award. And, of course, we’ve got some member news, from new CMTs to available resources. - Michael Kahn, Editor [post_title] => Technically Speaking, May 2019 [post_excerpt] => [post_status] => publish [comment_status] => closed [ping_status] => closed [post_password] => [post_name] => technically-speaking-may-2019 [to_ping] => [pinged] => [post_modified] => 2020-08-03 11:15:10 [post_modified_gmt] => 2020-08-03 15:15:10 [post_content_filtered] => [post_parent] => 0 [guid] => https://cmtassociation.org/?post_type=technically_speaking&p=38442 [menu_order] => 0 [post_type] => technically_speaking [post_mime_type] => [comment_count] => 0 [meta_id] => 275959 [post_id] => 38442 [meta_key] => newsletter_content_5_contributor [meta_value] => a:1:{i:0;s:4:"1035";} ) [3] => stdClass Object ( [ID] => 47295 [post_author] => 2 [post_date] => 2011-02-15 12:00:55 [post_date_gmt] => 2011-02-15 17:00:55 [post_content] =>

Letter from the Editor

Technical analysis has a rich, and little studied, history. MTA members are doubtlessly aware of this and understand that their membership helps them unlock a great deal of the available history. Thousands of books fill the shelves of the MTA library, some of them are the original works in their field of study. This is one of the most popular benefits of membership. As technology changed, the historical archive of any field has expanded to include videos as well. Taking advantage of the leading edge of technology, the MTA has captured the thinking of some of the leading technicians in the world and provides videos of these presentations. In recent issues of Technically Speaking, we have been featuring video presentations that are available in the archives section of the member’s section of the MTA web site. We believe there is great value in reviewing these and find that the true principles of technical analysis are timeless. Spending an hour looking at the current thinking of technicians from the time of a market bottom or top shows not only how they thought then, but with the advantage of hindsight you also know if it worked. That allows you to adapt that thinking to the market, learning from both what worked and what didn’t work. We’ve long recognized that these resources help us to become better technicians. Recently, the MTA Board of Directors adopted a voluntary Continuing Education program that formally recognizes the role of the library and the video archives. You can now earn CE credits for reading the classic works in our field and studying the video presentations of some of the best minds in our industry. Most members will easily meet the goals of this program without making any changes in their professional development program. There are many benefits of MTA membership, and the chance to learn so much about technical analysis from a variety of tools is only one of them. As always, we hope you consider this newsletter to be another valuable benefit of membership. Sincerely, Mike Carr, CMT [post_title] => Technically Speaking, February 2011 [post_excerpt] => [post_status] => publish [comment_status] => closed [ping_status] => closed [post_password] => [post_name] => technically-speaking-february-2011 [to_ping] => [pinged] => [post_modified] => 2020-03-11 18:28:32 [post_modified_gmt] => 2020-03-11 22:28:32 [post_content_filtered] => [post_parent] => 0 [guid] => https://cmtassociation.org/?post_type=technically_speaking&p=47295 [menu_order] => 0 [post_type] => technically_speaking [post_mime_type] => [comment_count] => 0 [meta_id] => 412022 [post_id] => 47295 [meta_key] => newsletter_content_3_contributor [meta_value] => a:1:{i:0;s:4:"1035";} ) )

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