Manuel Amunategui has worked on Wall Street in the options industry for over six years. He now lives in Portland, Oregon and spends most of his time in the data and data-mining industry but still finds time to experiment and run trading systems. He can be reached at amunategui@gmail.com.

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LETTER FROM THE EDITOR
As always, the MTA Annual Symposium was a success in every sense of the word.  The presenters are chosen for their ability to deliver valuable and actionable ideas. Networking opportunities provide a chance to meet with old colleagues and make new contacts. In the past few years, the location has provided out-of-town visitors with expansive views of New York City, allowing for limited sightseeing while maintaining a busy schedule.

In the next few months, videos of many of the presentations will be added to the MTA web site and summaries of the presentations will be presented here.

While the presentations are the core of the Symposium, equally valuable are the vendor exhibits. Many of us turn to the same tools every day. We know there have been new products introduced since we selected our software but we also know that is difficult to keep up with new products and even more difficult to assess the capabilities from a description on a web site. The Symposium always brings together a small group of product partners that understand they will be facing a demanding audience.  

If you were unable to make it to New York to see what’s new in the industry, you should still consider contacting the service providers that took time to learn how their product meets the needs of the MTA’s members. Several of the Symposium sponsors have agreed to extend special offers to all members for a limited time. More details are provided in this issue and contact information for all sponsors is also provided. Please give us any feedback on vendors and let us know what you would like to see in upcoming issues of Technically Speaking by emailing us at editor@mta.org.

Michael Carr
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LETTER FROM THE EDITOR
This month, we are highlighting several examples of work that may be at the leading edge of technical analysis research. Robert Prechter, Jr., CMT, popularized Elliott Wave and is probably the individual most responsible for its worldwide popularity. He has continued studying wave patterns and extended that study to socionomics, a field he developed and discusses in this issue.

In addition to demonstrating his personal brilliance, socionomics demonstrates how the knowledge gained in the study of technical analysis can be applied to other fields. A detailed example of socionomics, demonstrating the link between the public mood, stocks prices and Presidential elections, is also included and readers should consider downloading the full paper. Manuel Amunategui then offers an intriguing idea that addresses some of the problems created by 24-hour trading. In some markets, the open and close have become less significant but the technique Manuel presents could help redefine price charts in these markets.

December marks the end of the year and an end to a special discount price available for the Annual Symposium. The speakers, including Robert Prechter who will be sharing his latest work, promise to deliver value to any trader and analyst. Please tell us what you think about the newsletter with an email to editor@mta.org.

Sincerely,
Michael Carr
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            [post_content] => 
LETTER FROM THE EDITOR
Scott Hathaway leads off this month’s issue with another example of how he uses geometry to identify market patterns. Scott has contributed to several issues of Technically Speaking and readers seem to be interested in his work. As always, Scott delivers enough detail to reproduce his techniques.

Content in the rest of the issue reflects Scott’s philosophy of innovation and detail. We are getting an updated view of the metals market from Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT. Jordan frequently publishes his forecasts and his thought process can be seen in reading his commentaries. We then reprint a couple of MTA Blog posts. This may be an overlooked member benefit but blogs found on MyMTA are often excellent research pieces. Scott frequently posts updates there and his latest insights in gold can be
found there.

Educational webcasts are also a benefit of MTA membership and two recent presentations are summarized. John Kosar, CMT, and Larry Connors are two very creative, data-driven technicians.  Although different in many ways, their work shares an attention to history and detail that is of value to any technician.

Please let us know what you think about Technically Speaking. You can email us at editor@mta.org.

Michael Carr
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            [post_content] => 
LETTER FROM THE EDITOR
We take an extended look at the trading philosophy of Ian Woodward in this month’s issue. Ian has created a complete investment methodology based on the work of William O’Neil, Richard Arms and John Bollinger and the articles we feature offer an example of the thought process required for successful market analysis. The format is different than seen in most issues of this newsletter because it is a mix of figures and explanatory text that develop the ideas logically.

Ian came to my attention after John Bollinger, CFA, CMT, mentioned his work. John met with Ian as a result of an MTAEF luncheon fundraiser. John found that Ian’s work inspired him and will result in a new suite of indicators from this market master. Based on that fact, I set out to find Ian and learned he was a second-career technician, devoting his efforts to the market after retiring as an engineer. His story seemed similar to that which the late Art Merrill, CMT, might have shared. Art retired as an engineer and spent the next 34 years (a Fib number I believe) as a technician who advanced the field in many ways. I think Ian may do the same in the second half of his technical analysis career.

Please let us know what you think about this issue by emailing us at editor@mta.org

Michael Carr
            [post_title] => Technically Speaking, August 2012
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            [post_date] => 2012-04-15 12:00:52
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            [post_content] => 
LETTER FROM THE EDITOR
This issue starts with an update on the CMT Program. The recent addition of Bob Johnson to the Program is a step toward making a great program even
better.

The rest of the issue is a collection of insights from practitioners in the field. Classic chart patterns still form the core of the discipline, but the patterns are being used in a number of different ways and the articles that follow will show just a small sample of the type of work technicians are doing today.

Please let us know what you think about Technically Speaking by sending an email to editor@mta.org.

Sincerely,
Michael Carr
            [post_title] => Technically Speaking, April 2012
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            [post_date] => 2012-02-15 12:00:26
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            [post_content] => 
LETTER FROM THE EDITOR
This month we are providing a detailed overview of several interesting techniques.

Scott Hathaway introduces pentagonal analysis with detailed examples and a complete explanation of how you could apply the ideas to any chart. Manuel Amunategui, CMT, offers very specific trading strategies that can be applied to help manage risk. James Brodie, CMT, describes the techniques he applies to trade a hedge fund.

We also feature an interview with Esther de S.G. Elkaïm, CMT. These interviews are highlighting the diversity of technical analysis opportunities and hopefully showing the possibilities for those considering a career in technical analysis.

Over the past months, the MTA has been searching for the right person to help bring the CMT program to the next level. After a thorough process, Robert Johnson, Ph.D., CFA, CAIA, was selected as Director, CMT Studies. Dr. Johnson will focus on enhancing the professionalism of the CMT Program and will eventually develop a customized curriculum for our candidates. In next month’s newsletter, we’ll have an interview with Dr. Johnson and get his first thoughts on the program.

As always, we hope you’ll tell us what you think about Technically Speaking by sending an email to editor@mta.org.

Sincerely,
Michael Carr
            [post_title] => Technically Speaking, February 2012
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