Matt Pavich

Matt Pavich

I founded MP Asset Management in 2014. I have been in the investment arena for nearly forty years and charting the markets for twenty five. I am a self taught technician creating several proprietary indicators and signals blending into a dynamic asset allocation strategy.

I view the search for dependable signals as a daily murder mystery whodunit process. Different patterns, indicators, time periods, and shifting asset class relationships make for an advance level game of Clue. I am also an information and news junkie incorporating business, political, economic and cultural world events into the mix. I have also developed a probability matrix assigning individual data points their own odds of firing then integrating them into the whole.

Best part of my business is I truly love doing it.

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            [post_date] => 2021-11-08 10:43:46
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            [post_content] => The market is a living, breathing organism that goes through many different moods and seasons within a given cycle. Different markets have different temperaments (as do all of us). And the analyst who takes time to understand all the moods of the market, tends to benefit from it. With the beginning of November, we have now entered one of the most opportune times, seasonally, to be invested in the market.

If “Sell in May and Go Away” is a saying followed by many, then “Always Remember to Invest in November” is something to plan for as well. But regardless of these phrases, what will always work in favour of us in the market is a good Risk Management strategy. If we have that in place, then half the battle is won!

Across the globe we are seeing the resumption of the bull trends which were consolidations until now. For instance, the Dow Twins are finally confirming the trend; after 9 months of nothing, the Small Cap index (IWM) has finally registered a breakout on the weekly chart, while the microcaps (IWC) seem to be picking up pace. We also have CAC 40 and DAX trade at record highs! Bank Nifty is adding to the strength as well. Definitely the kind of setup one could expect during a historically profitable seasonal time.

As we drive through breakout city, it becomes important to make decisions on the basis of our parameters, risk profile, investment goals and our investment personality. With so much information at the tip of our fingers, it's easy to lose sight of our plan and make impulse decisions that we would otherwise frown upon later.

While technicians are taught to take every chart as it comes, there are times when we tend to force our view on the price. There are also times when we bargain with the market: risk management levels are sometimes altered over and over again, because failure is hard to acknowledge. A bad trade can quickly morph into an ugly trade, if not checked in time.

On the flip side, a small profit could turn into a major portfolio winner with the help of the appropriate technical tools. The goal is to cut the losses and let the profits run. Easier said than done, of course, but only practice can help us get better. When all is said and done, Technical Analysis, when followed correctly, will always keep you afloat - no matter the storm.

The market can be a battle, a city, a storm, anything. But as long as we follow our plan, we should be able to get to the other side with a good amount of profit and lessons to serve us a lifetime!

Here’s to a profitable beginning to a profitable season.

Rashmi Bhatnagar

            [post_title] => Technically Speaking, November 2021
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