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Vincent M. Randazzo, CMT

Vincent M. Randazzo, CMT

Vincent Randazzo, who holds the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, is a Senior Market Analyst and Portfolio Manager at Lowry Research Corporation. Previously, he was a Managing Director and Chief Market Analyst at NASDAQ. Vincent has close to 20 years of experience in the financial industry, and holds a BA degree in Economics from Drew University. 

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            [post_content] => There are many songs about the end of summer, most talking about getting back to work or school, essentially ending the lazy, carefree days. If that’s you, perhaps you forgot this is 2020! Up is down, Zoom is the word and Wednesday is Sunday (at Carvel). People cannot wait for fall, hoping that things will get better on the virus, economic and back-to-school fronts.

However, after several months of really good stock market action, September gave also us that rude awakening that stocks can actually go down, and by a lot, in any given day. Even worse, crude oil, after sitting there for months, looks terrible again. And the greenback, after hitting a multi-year low, looks kind of “bottomy.” Is that it for gold?

Never let it be said that the markets – all of them – are boring.

Now that we are all supposed to be back at work, whether virtual or in person, it is time to get back to our plans. Of course, not the same old plans, but plans to move forward, nonetheless. As you will see, content here is a bit beefier now than it was over the summer. And the Association is getting back to long-range planning and getting CMT testing back into gear. This month, we also announce the 2021 Charles H. Dow Award, with updated submission requirements.

Also in this edition, we have Rui Matos’ article on seasonality in the commodities markets, and how to hedge/profit using options. Alon Horesh shares his thoughts on Machine Learning with regard to finding support and resistance levels. And this month’s member interview is with Vincent Randazzo, CMT, from Lowry Research.

From the Association, we’ve got membership news, and an announcement for remote proctoring in the CMT exams. The Washington DC/Baltimore had a virtual meeting in July and offered a few notes about their guest speaker.

There you go. Keep your fingers crossed that we are on the road to normalcy.

Michael Kahn, CMT

Editor
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            [post_content] => Thanks to the constraints of newsletter publishing and the lack of time travel resources available, this edition of Technically Speaking was put to bed before the festivities of the 46th Annual Symposium, earlier this month. While we could not magically forecast what the speakers would say, rest assured we will have plenty of information and reviews in the next edition. If you haven't taken the post-Symposium survey yet, you can do that here.

The funny thing about time is that this time is never different. While we usually apply that to analysis and the behavior of crowds, we are still applying it to the news of the day. Brexit was supposed to happen March 29, but it was delayed and still they argue over what it will look like. Trade with China is still up in the air. The Mueller report is finally out, and while we don’t know all the details inside, everyone still clings to their previous views.

What else is not different? Headlines! The three-month Treasury yield ticked above the 10-year yield and suddenly the media was in a panic over the curve inversion. Funny, the 2-year is still below the 10-year and that seems more important to me, especially now that the Fed said it’s done raising rates for now.

All of that hides the fact that the domestic stock market continued to claw its way back towards last year's highs. That’s pretty good for a geriatric bull market, yes? If you want to argue whether the bull started in 2008 or 2015 or some resistance breakout, be my guest. We don’t get paid to label things, only to make money.

Vincent Randazzo, CMT, from Lowry’s returns with another article and one indication why the current rally is not done yet.

And on a more mundane, although really important, topic, George Schade, CMT, introduced us to publishing and copyright specialists Joyce and Daniel Miller. The Millers offer part one in a series of articles walking us through the details of staying on the right side of the law. Whether you write books, newsletters or just post to your blog, this is important stuff to know.

I’ve found another of my vintage articles, explaining how to be a good interviewee on financial TV. This is a loose part 2 to last month’s article talking about dealing with the media. If you want to get invited back for another round of talks, you need to know this stuff.

And this month’s member interview is with Richard Dickson, also from Lowry’s. One more in a long, long, long list of professionals who started with the analysis herd and then saw the light that is technical analysis.

We also have a brief recap of those who received Association honors at the Symposium. They are listed within. And finally, we'll top this edition off with the usual news about the goings on around the Association.
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From the Editor

As Randy Quaid’s character said as he was about to slay the alien ship in Independence Day, “Hello boys – I’m baaack!” Hello boys and girls! After a 20-year hiatus, I am back at the helm of Technically Speaking. The good news is that unlike last time when it was just me, with the indomitable Barbara Gomperts handling production, we’ve got a full team handling the particulars, including gathering some of the content. Shout outs to Tyler Wood, Shane Skwarek, CMT Association CEO Alvin Kressler and the staff for all the help. The biggest change you will notice is that we’ve taken Technically Speaking back to a more traditional association newsletter where we focus on you, the member, and how the CMT Association can help you in your careers. Kudos to Mike Carr, CMT for his stewardship over the past few years. That was a flashback for me, because the last time I was editor, I relied on Mike for all sorts of content. Maybe we can twist his arm again! Aside from bringing you your association news, this inaugural newsletter is also a call to arms for members and associates. We need volunteers to help us deliver a well-rounded offering with: With that said, we’ll kick of the member interview series with the Godfather, Ralph Acampora, CMT, one of the founders of the CMT Association. We also have part 1 in a series that ran back in the 1990s called “Lessons from Dead Pilots,” written by Mark Eidem CMT, CFA, which gives a fascinating comparison with traders. And a big thank-you to Vincent M. Randazzo, CMT and the team at Lowry’s Research for their take on the advance-decline line. Rounding it all out will be news from around the association – committees, strategy, CMT news and events. Let us know what you think! Michael Kahn, CMT [post_title] => Technically Speaking, September 2018 [post_excerpt] => [post_status] => publish [comment_status] => closed [ping_status] => closed [post_password] => [post_name] => september-2018 [to_ping] => [pinged] => [post_modified] => 2020-08-03 11:19:19 [post_modified_gmt] => 2020-08-03 15:19:19 [post_content_filtered] => [post_parent] => 0 [guid] => https://cmtassociation.org/?post_type=technically_speaking&p=34269 [menu_order] => 0 [post_type] => technically_speaking [post_mime_type] => [comment_count] => 0 [meta_id] => 214523 [post_id] => 34269 [meta_key] => newsletter_content_3_contributor [meta_value] => a:1:{i:0;s:5:"34284";} ) [3] => stdClass Object ( [ID] => 42608 [post_author] => 35924 [post_date] => 2017-03-15 12:00:29 [post_date_gmt] => 2017-03-15 16:00:29 [post_content] => [post_title] => Technically Speaking, March 2017 [post_excerpt] => [post_status] => publish [comment_status] => closed [ping_status] => closed [post_password] => [post_name] => technically-speaking-march-2017 [to_ping] => [pinged] => [post_modified] => 2020-08-03 11:19:50 [post_modified_gmt] => 2020-08-03 15:19:50 [post_content_filtered] => [post_parent] => 0 [guid] => https://cmtassociation.org/?post_type=technically_speaking&p=42608 [menu_order] => 0 [post_type] => technically_speaking [post_mime_type] => [comment_count] => 0 [meta_id] => 335405 [post_id] => 42608 [meta_key] => newsletter_content_1_contributor [meta_value] => a:1:{i:0;s:5:"34284";} ) )

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