Walter Deemer is a founding member and past president of the CMT Association who began his Wall Street career in July 1963 as a Merrill Lynch research trainee. In April 1964, Walter moved to Merrill Lynch’s Market Analysis Department, where he worked under Bob Farrell, and was a full-time technical analyst from then until he retired in 2016.

Walter worked as a Senior Vice President for Putnam Management Company in Boston, which he joined in 1970 in a move away from Tsai Management & Research, and served as a full member of Putnam’s Investment Policy Committee for a time. Walter formed his own technical analysis company, Deemer Technical Research Inc., in July 1980. He was the featured technical analyst in Dean LeBaron’s Treasury of Investment Wisdom, joining such luminaries as John Bogle, Peter Lynch and George Soros as the chosen “guru” in their field, and was honored and humbled to be given the CMT Association’s Annual Award in 2015.

Mr. Deemer and Susan Cragin co-authored Deemer on Technical Analysis: Expert Insights on Timing the Market and Profiting in the Long Run in 2012.  In 2014, he wrote The Essential Basics of Technical Analysis and The Essential Basics of Technical Analysis for Financial Advisors.  In 2019, Walter authored his fourth book, When the Time Comes To Buy, You Won’t Want To: Timeless Pieces of Wit and Wisdom Compiled by a Wall Street Legend.

 

 

 

 

 

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            [post_content] => With the vaccine roll-out in full swing, we can truly see the light at the end of the tunnel. For those of us in the colder Northern climates, the pending Spring is double good news since we’ve been cooped up inside our own homes. Who cannot wait to go to their favorite restaurant and not have to wear a parka?

The downside? Now we have to shed those pandemic pounds so we can wear more than sweat pants. I think I’ll take that.

Since mid-February, the markets have finally been interesting. Tech investors saw a “correction” while at the very same time portions of the rest of the market were at all-time highs. Gold is in the tank but oil is at multi-month highs. Remember last year when it went negative? Fun times – not. And have you seen copper?

Then, of course, there is all that debt out there. Liquidity … until the piper shows up for payment.

On a more somber note, over the past few weeks we’ve lost three great people and assets to the Association. Les Williams was a model of involvement, with participation and leadership in many areas in the Association over the years. Not only that, he was a genuinely nice guy and his signature adorns the CMT charter hanging on my wall. Bernadette Murphy, who was known to greater Wall Street as a leader for decades, was instrumental in legitimizing technical analysis as a true investment discipline. Younger members may not know of her, but they should. Memorials for both of these great people are in this month’s edition, and this month’s photo archive features a few shots of them. We've also got a brief tribute to Bill Sharp, co-founder and past President of the CSTA - the technical society in Canada.

This month’s member interview is with Michael Gayed CFA, who is a multiple winner of the Dow Award and awards from other groups. Walter Deemer, a now-retired technical analysis veteran, has put decades of his writings and analysis online for all to see. What was it like in the 60s, 70s, 80s and 90s? Just read his comments.

He also happens to be the subject of this month’s Fill the Gap, the CMT Association's official podcast.

Of course, we have news from the Association, and President Scott Richter offers his thoughts about helping our colleagues out of any lingering career effects from the pandemic.

Don’t forget, you can submit articles for publication here. As long as they are about technical analysis or the business (not forecasts) we want to see them. Yes, even from brand new analysts. Write something. How do you think I, a physics major in college, got to be a columnist and editor? I wrote – a lot. Now it is your turn.

We want your photos, too. Book reviews, software reviews, thoughts on regulation, anything that members would find useful or interesting relating to technical analysis.

Michael Kahn, CMT

Editor
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            [post_content] => As the leaves finally turn here in the New York area, the stock market has once again reached new highs, at least according to the big indices. But just when you stopped looking, the Russell clawed back to the top of its year-long range and the NYSE composite – the average Joe index – is at a two-year high.

Could it be that the converse to “sell in May” is finally going to work? The answer is, of course, who knows?  The usual suspects still hold us hostage: China and the Fed. The latter seems to be on hold after the last rate hike.

There are a few things of note, namely the resurgence of retail stocks and banks. The dollar may be breaking down, too. Copper may still be comatose, but look at platinum soar!

This month in Technically Speaking, we’ve got part two of Bruno DiGiorgi’s History of Wall Street and a twist on an old, less-well-known indicator by David Steckler. New York and Minnesota Chapters weigh in with speaker reviews, and our member interview is with Ken Tower, CMT, a past president of the Association.

We’ve also got a similar interview with CMT Association Executive Director Alvin Kressler. It is easy to think of him as just an administrator, but when you look at his career, he is truly one of us.

Of course, we’ve got Association news, including the announcement of 27 new CMTs.

If you’ve got a book out, let us know so we can tell everyone. Also, if you are hiring technicians, we can post that here.

And as usual, I ask members to submit articles they’ve written (not forecasts but methods) or write something new to share your knowledge with the group. If you are new, this is a great way to develop your chops as an analyst and a writer.

Michael Kahn, CMT

Editor
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            [post_content] => 
LETTER FROM THE EDITOR
The MTA recently announced this year’s award winners:

 	
Walter Deemer – Annual Award
 	
Frederic Dickson – Memorial Award
 	
Brad Herndon – Service Award
 	
Stanley Dash – Recognition Award
 	
Amber Hestla-Barnhart – Charles H. Dow Award

In this month’s newsletter we provide more insight into why Walt Deemer and Amber Hestla-Barnhart were honored. Walt is a true legend in the analysis community and the short articles we offer provide a small glimpse of his work. Amber shares details about the process she followed to win the prestigious Charles H. Dow Award in the hope of encouraging more submissions to next year’s competition.

We will have more details on the honorees in next month’s newsletter.

Later this month, hundreds of MTA members will spend time together at the Annual Symposium. Attendees will spend time hearing the thoughts of extraordinary market analysts in formal presentations and in informal settings that are an equally important part of the Symposium. I hope I will get to meet everyone attending the Symposium but the odds of that are low because the Symposium only lasts two days. If you will be attending and have ideas on how we can improve Technically Speaking, please send me a note at editor@mta.org so I can get your feedback in person.

Sincerely,
Michael Carr
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            [post_content] => 
Letter from the Editor
This month, we searched the internet to find interesting and useful web sites that could help our members profit in the markets. There are a number of very good web sites out there, but most will not help traders unless they are willing to think outside the box. Economists seem to have taken to blogging more than many other professions, and while their observations are interesting, we thought that almost all of them were too far from technical analysis to be included in this short review. But you may certainly have more insights into their work and we’d like to hear about it if you do.

That leads to an interesting question – what should technical analysis include? We’d very much like to hear some of your thoughts on that subject and would be glad to include any ideas you have as letters to the editor.

One interesting application of technical analysis we did find was the work of Jim Otar, CMT, CFP. Jim extends his research to retirement planning. It demonstrates the possibilities for skilled technicians, and in a challenging employment environment, research like this could be the element that leads to that dream job. For those wishing to extend the field of technical analysis and seeking a place to publish, consider Technically Speaking. We’re ready to review anything related to our field.

Sincerely,
Mike Carr, CMT
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