LETTER FROM THE EDITOR
In this month’s issue, we are confident we have something for everyone. Charlie Kirkpatrick, CMT, the only person to have written two Dow Award winning papers, explains an indicator he calls “the forward line.” In the first two articles of this issue, he explains the theory at the heart of the forward line, details the calculation of the indicator and demonstrates how to apply it to trading.
In this month’s member interview, Anthony Abry explains his work and identifies position sizing and Commitment of Traders (COT) data as potential areas for further study. To help start your study, we turned to Ralph Vince who was the first to detail the theory of position sizing and John Kosar, CMT, who is one of the most innovative analysts working with
COT data. We include some recent research from John and then added a chart showing how the market actually performed after John made his realtime market call. We conclude this issue with an article about market geometry by Scott Hathaway. Scott has been working on new geometric techniques, in some ways picking up where and Gann and Elliott left off.
Please let us know what topics you’d like to see covered in future issues by emailing us at firstname.lastname@example.org.
CYCLES AND THE FORWARD LINEby Charles D. Kirkpatrick
Editor’s note: This information is adapted from Kirkpatrick’s Investment and Trading Strategies (Upper Saddle River, NJ: FT Press, 2014). It is copyrighted by the owner and is reprinted here with...
APPLYING CYCLES AND THE FORWARD LINEby Charles D. Kirkpatrick
Plotting and Understanding Moving Averages Most of technical indicators require a period length. The MACD, Stochastic, CCI, DMI, ADX and ATR, etc., all require a length over which each is calculated....
DOW AWARD HIGHLIGHTS: CHARLES D. KIRKPATRICK II, CMT
The winner of the 1994 and 2001 Charles H. Dow Award, Charles D. Kirkpatrick II, CMT, is the only individual to win the award twice. Throughout his 45 years in the investment field, the national...
MIKE EPSTEIN AWARD 2014: PROFESSOR BLAKE LEBARON
In 2009, the MTA Educational Foundation established an annual award in memory of our late colleague, Mike Epstein. Each year, the award is presented to the person who best exemplifies Mike’s goals...
ANTHONY ABRY, MBA, CMTby Anthony Abry, MBA, CMT & Amber Hestla-Barnhart
How would you describe your job? We help clients with research, development and trading strategy creation. We also reduce the manual workload needed for development and implementation of a strategy....
OPTIMAL F: CALCULATING THE EXPECTED GROWTH-OPTIMAL FRACTION FOR DISCRETELY-DISTURBED OUTCOMESby Ralph Vince
Editor’s note: This paper was originally published at RalphVince.com in June 2014 and is reposed here with permission. Repeatedly in both the gambling and trading communities the expected growth...
OIL PRICES: SMART MONEY SKEPTICAL AT $103 PER BARRELby John Kosar, CMT
Editor’s note: this was originally posted at Asbury Research on June 4, 2014 and is reposted here with permission. One of several investor asset-flow based investor sentiment metrics that we track...
BREAKOUT SIGNALS ON THE DOW AND S&P 500 PART TWO: SHORT-TERM BREAKOUTS CONFIRM THE EXPECTATION OF A CONTINUED MAJOR BULL MARKETby Scott Hathaway, CFTe
Overview In last month’s Technically Speaking, I showed a yearly log chart of the Dow demonstrated the market’s attempt at a potential breakout of resistance for 2014 which, if successful, would...
New Educational Content This Month
October 22, 2021
Systematic Multiple Time Frame Investing
Presenter(s): Bill Kelleher, CMT, CFA
October 20, 2021
Volume Analysis Series (Part 3): Volume Analysis with Indexes
Presenter(s): Buff Dormeier, CMT
October 13, 2021
Understanding Market Internals to Identify Turning Points
Presenter(s): Mike Hurley, CMT