Todd Campbell is President and Founder of E.B. Capital Markets, LLC. Todd has been providing independent equity research to professional money managers for more than a decade. In 2003, Todd founded E.B. Capital Markets, LLC, an independent research firm serving professional money management firms. Today, some of the largest money management firms in the country trust their proprietary research. As firm President, he is responsible for all research and client services. Prior to founding E.B. Capital Markets, LLC, Todd was Vice President and Partner of Alpha Equity Research, an independent equity research firm. Todd is a graduate of the University of New Hampshire, where he studied English, Psychology and Business Administration with a focus on economics.
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Letter from the Editor
This month’s issue demonstrates the rich variety that exists within the field of technical analysis.
- Todd Campbell presents quantitative analysis showing stock market behavior after VIX extremes. This is an example of using sentiment as an input into the trading process and demonstrates the value of sentiment when applied as part of a long-term analysis.
- Kenneth G. Winans, CFA, CMT recently published his second book, Investment Atlas – Financial Maps to Investment Success which documents investment returns using richly detailed charts to place market returns into historical context. If you ever wondered how real estate has performed in France or Japan over the past fifty years, this book is for you. Along with other esoteric asset classes, Investment Atlas also shows stock and bond returns in detail for various historical events which can help those who realize history tends to repeat.
- George Schade, Jr., CMT, is certainly one of those who understands the importance of studying history. He returns to the pages of Technically Speaking with a biography of R. N. Elliott. George is a renowned expert in the history of technical analysis and his writings always offer valuable insights into the minds of the pioneers of technical analysis. Sir Isaac Newton once said, “If I have seen farther than others, it is because I was standing on the shoulders of giants.” George furthers our field by uncovering the all-too-often lost histories of the giants of technical analysis, making it possible for others to climb onto their shoulders.
- Mukul Pal uses cycle analysis to develop an analysis of what the markets may look like four years from now. It is interesting to consider how cycles are usually viewed as long-term tools but can be applied in the short-term as well. This would be application of Elliott’s work on the fractal nature of markets.
- Ashish Kyal applies traditional trendline and indicator analysis to the Indian stock market.
As always, we hope you find this issue of your newsletter to be useful. We also welcome your contributions and suggestions.
Sincerely,
Mike Carr, CMT
Editor
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A Letter from the MTA Seminar Chair
This month, instead of A Letter from the Editor’s Desk, we have decided to provide you with an update on the MTA’s upcoming Mid-Winter Retreat by Seminar Chair Tim Snavely, CFA, CMT.
MTA Membership:
I am pleased to invite you to join us this year for our 2008 MTA Mid-Winter Retreat - a high quality, advanced topics, learning and networking event set on the gorgeous Florida Gulf Coast. This year’s Retreat will be held January 25th and 26th at the fabulous Don CeSar, a Loew’s Hotel, and it will feature:
- An MTA Market Forecast Panel, featuring expert ideas, outlooks, and forecasts for 2008!
- Presentations from renowned experts including John Bollinger, Ned Davis, Jeff deGraaf, Jordan Kotick, Hank Pruden, Phil Roth and more!
- A networking-oriented Rotating Round table discussion enabling attendees to strengthen relationships and share market insights with our attending experts.
- An Awards Luncheon. One of the MTA’s finest traditions is recognizing the important contributions of members of our community – and it’s fun!
- An outdoor evening reception and BBQ to soak in the Florida sun and spend time with your friends and colleagues in the industry.
- A low priced Spouse/Guest Rate, with some spouse - and guest-friendly meals so that everyone can join in the fun.
- This year’s Retreat promises to be the best ever! Accommodations and arrangements at the Don CeSar are possibly the best any where on the Gulf, and the program is designed to balance market insights with networking and time for fun in the sun.
Please stay tuned for more information, and be sure to review the itinerary. There is no better place to be this January 25th and 26th than St. Pete Beach, Florida - so plan ahead and act now to take advantage of this opportunity, and the low pre-registration rate available for only a short time.
For more information or to register, go to www.mta.org, or contact Tim Licitra, MTA Marketing Services Coordinator, at (646) 652-3300.
Sincerely,
Tim Snavely, CFA, CMT
MTA Board Member & Seminar Chair
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